Three 90%-Plus Sports Contracts, Three Correct Resolutions — and One Kill That Resolved Right Anyway

Three live-game sports contracts from May 27 and 28 all resolved exactly where their final tape prices pointed. The Carolina Hurricanes moneyline peaked at 94.5% during a three-goal first period in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Final and settled at 100¢ after a 4-0 shutout. The Blue Jays–Orioles Over 8.5 total reached an implied 92.5% certainty for the Under — with the final score embedded in Orakll's published headline — and the game ended 2-1, three runs against a threshold of 8.5. And the Astros contract reached 95.5¢ after Yordan Alvarez's go-ahead 8th-inning homer, only for Orakll's Review to kill the draft — and then Houston completed a 5-1 win, settling the contract at 100¢.

Three markets. Three correct resolutions. A 100% directional hit rate at the 90%-implied-certainty threshold across a 30-hour window.