Overseas Ballot Batches Keep Sánchez at 5.45¢ Despite Slim ONPE Lead
Sánchez's YES contract holds at 5.45% as of 21:40 UTC Wednesday, with the market pricing uncounted overseas ballots as sufficient to erase his 9,351-vote ONPE margin.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
Roberto Sánchez's YES contract trades at 5.45¢ as of 21:40 UTC Wednesday — down 1.25pp on the day — despite ONPE officially showing Sánchez ahead of Keiko Fujimori 50.03% to 49.97% with 97.889% of ballots tallied. As Orakll reported this morning, the unreported exterior ballot stack is the market's primary risk. The official margin stands at just 9,351 votes on roughly 18 million cast.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Politics Ipsos Dead-Heat Poll Lifts Sánchez Palomino to 37.3% Two Days Out
Sánchez Palomino's contract stands at 37.3% at 08:40 UTC Friday, up 10.9 points in 24 hours after an Ipsos poll put him in a statistical tie with Fujimori ahead of Sunday's vote.
Filed June 5, 2026
Politics Fujimori Contract Holds 77.5% as ONPE Confirms 0.3-Point Lead at 92.6%
Keiko Fujimori's contract sits at 77.5% as of 12:23 UTC Monday as Peru's ONPE count reaches 92.6%, showing her ahead 50.16% to 49.84%.
Filed June 8, 2026
Politics Fujimori at 92.5% as Certification Gap Caps Overseas-Ballot Surge
Keiko Fujimori's YES contract trades at 92.5% at 16:33 UTC Tuesday, up 16 points from Monday's open, as overseas tallies firm her lead over Sánchez.