Iran at 52.5% as World Cup Group G Opener Kicks Off
Iran's win market is trading at 52.5% YES as of 01:10 UTC Tuesday, minutes after the opening whistle against New Zealand, with $17.4 million in 24-hour volume cycling through the Group G contract.
Market data temporarily unavailable
- Contract
- Condition
Iran's Polymarket win contract entered the opening minutes of their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group G clash against New Zealand at 52.5% YES as of 01:10 UTC Tuesday — the market's last sampled price — with $17.4 million in 24-hour volume making it one of Monday's most-traded match contracts. The reading recovers from a pre-kickoff dip to 0.515.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Sports Seller Wall Holds Egypt YES at 36.5% as Group G Kicks Off in Seattle
Egypt are priced at 36.5% to beat Iran in their 2026 World Cup Group G finale at 03:01 UTC Saturday, 3pp below the session open of 0.395, with $5.60M in 24-hour volume.
Filed June 27, 2026
Sports Surman Header Sends New Zealand to 49.5% at World Cup Halftime
New Zealand's win odds stand at 49.5% as of 02:05 UTC Monday, up 33pp from the session open, after Finn Surman's 15th-minute header gave the All Whites a 1–0 halftime lead over Egypt.
Filed June 22, 2026
Sports New Zealand YES Contract Surges to 49.5% on Just's 7th-Minute Strike
New Zealand's Group G win contract sits at 49.5% as of 01:33 UTC Tuesday — a 28pp surge from its 21.5% session open — after Elijah Just's 7th-minute goal against Iran at SoFi Stadium.
Filed June 16, 2026
Sports Messi's 18-Goal Record Lifts Argentina World Cup Odds to 16.85%
Argentina's winner contract hit 16.85% at 06:07 UTC on Saturday, June 27 — up 2.2pp on the session — after Messi's group-stage hat-trick and brace made him the World Cup's all-time top scorer.
Filed June 27, 2026
Sports Ask Wall Pins Germany YES at 56.85¢ as Pre-Kickoff Sellers Absorb Dip Buyers
Germany YES at 56.85% as of 19:43 UTC — 9pp off Thursday's 65.85¢ peak — as a 5.55M-share ask overhang absorbs last-minute buyers with kickoff sixteen minutes away.
Filed June 25, 2026
Sports Rotation Concerns Clip Germany YES 4.7pp From Peak to 61.15%
Germany's win probability sits at 61.15% as of 14:09 UTC Thursday, down 4.7pp from its overnight high, as wholesale squad rotation tightens the market.
Filed June 25, 2026