Burnham's Leadership Bid Sustains Starmer Exit Odds at 79%
The Starmer 'next leader out' contract holds at 79% as of 05:33 UTC Tuesday, a 50.5pp overnight surge on his June 22 resignation announcement.

Keir Starmer's 'next leader out before 2027' contract stands at 79% as of 05:33 UTC Tuesday — a 50.5-point overnight surge from 0.285 driven by his formal resignation announcement outside 10 Downing Street on Monday, June 22. The market traded $428,019 in the past 24 hours.
¶Why now
Orakll Subscriber
The rest of this story is for subscribers
The tape reads, the counter-view, and the priced-in math are for subscribers. Subscribe to read on.
Quant Dashboard
See where liquidity is positioning
Screener, order-book depth, correlation heatmap, and whale concentration — live.
Agent tokens
Wire your trading agent in 30 seconds
One URL + Bearer token into Claude Code, Cursor, or ChatGPT. Seventeen read tools.
Full articles
Read every story in full
The complete tape read, counter-view, and priced-in math on every report.
Read next
Politics Starmer Exit Surges to 83.5% as Departure Plans Fire Pre-Noon Tape
The Starmer June 22 ouster market sits at 83.5% as of 07:33 UTC Monday, up 19pp over 24 hours, with noon UTC resolution under five hours away.
Filed June 22, 2026
Politics Starmer at Chequers; June 30 Ouster Holds at 83.5%
Starmer ouster contract holds at 83.5% as of 06:36 UTC Sunday, up 18.5pp on the day, as Chequers exit reports drive sustained YES buying.
Filed June 21, 2026
Politics Burnham's Commons Return Fires Starmer Ouster Odds to 67.5%
The Starmer ouster contract hit 67.5% at 23:56 UTC Friday, up 36.5pp on the day, after Burnham's Makerfield by-election win cleared the formal path to a Labour leadership challenge.